Gatekeeper Investment Group

by | Jun 19, 2025 | Uncategorized | 0 comments

The 18.6-year Real Estate cycle continues to move along. The US Case Shiller Home Price Index is at an all-time high. The 2 largest US homebuilders (DR Horton, Lennar) have broken monthly swing bottoms (2 monthly swing bottoms in Lennar’s case!). The SPDR Homebuilders Trust has also broken its latest monthly swing.

These all indicate that cracks have begun to form for the largest asset class in the world (land) and that we could be seeing a final peak and correction in the next 6-18 months.

Study history. Study Real Estate.

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The 18.6-year Real Estate cycle continues to move along. The US Case Shiller Home Price Index is at an all-time high. The 2 largest US homebuilders (DR Horton, Lennar) have broken monthly swing bottoms (2 monthly swing bottoms in Lennar’s case!). The SPDR Homebuilders Trust has also broken its latest monthly swing.

These all indicate that cracks have begun to form for the largest asset class in the world (land) and that we could be seeing a final peak and correction in the next 6-18 months.

Study history. Study Real Estate.

Gatekeeper Investment Group

Fiat will continue to be printed at will by the private institution know as the Federal Reserve. (It’s as “federal” as Federal Express, if you didn’t know).

This creation of money debases your hard earned dollar. The system is designed for this.

Opt out with Bitcoin.

Study Fiat. Study Bitcoin.

The higher the global liquidity goes. | Labib Ben Mimoun/

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Gatekeeper Investment Group

US Case Shiller Home Price Index at all-time highs. XHB broke a monthly swing low and is now testing the local 50%. DR Horton broke a monthly swing low and hasn’t even come close to testing its local 50%. Lennar is even worse off, breaking 2 monthly swing lows. Pulte is down 25% from its high.

Looks like the 18.6-year Real Estate cycle is certainly in its “winners curse” phase.

Study history. Study Real Estate./

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