Bitcoin and the 18.6-Year Real Estate Cycle

Our Thoughts

Bitcoin has a 4-year cycle. Real Estate, 18.6.

DYOR. Do Your Own Research.

We got super curious about Bitcoin and the 18.6-year Real Estate cycle in early 2021. Since then we’ve read books and followed others in those spaces, learning all we could about the mysterious “magical” Internet money and the largest asset in the world, land.

Join us in learning more about Bitcoin, the 18.6-year Real Estate cycle, and other financial related topics.

Gatekeeper Investment Group

So, now that we’ve agreed that 2% is an arbitrary inflation target, can we agree that 0% is better? Pretty please. Asking for a friend.

via LinkedIn

Joe Kernan and Mohamed El-Erian have a spicy exchange. “ The difference between 2% and 3% percent [inflation] compounded is devastating, and for you to just blow it off.” “You better buy #Bitcoin, Mohamed.”

Gatekeeper Investment Group

From January 2020 to December 2021, the M2 money supply jumped over 40%.

There’s your inflation.

It’s not 2% a year like the CPI says.

Study Fiat. Study Bitcoin./

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Gatekeeper Investment Group

Some of these people are going to be severely disappointed if they don’t quickly realize that there’s only ever going to be 21M Bitcoin.

That’s a pretty big disconnect.

Study Bitcoin.

A majority of people say they’ve heard of bitcoin. | Cornell Bitcoin Club/

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Gatekeeper Investment Group

Lennar Corp. (the 2nd largest US homebuilder) has broken 2 monthly swing lows and hasn’t come close to retesting its local 50%. Meanwhile, the US Case Shiller Home Price Index is at record highs.

This is a perfect example of what the end of the 18.6-year Real Estate cycle looks like. We’re in the “winner’s curse” phase and we usually hang out here for less than 2 years, sometimes as short as 9 months.

Land, being the largest asset class in the world, holds approximately $500 trillion in value, so it takes time to create major corrections./

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