Bitcoin and the 18.6-Year Real Estate Cycle
Our Thoughts
Bitcoin has a 4-year cycle. Real Estate, 18.6.
DYOR. Do Your Own Research.
We got super curious about Bitcoin and the 18.6-year Real Estate cycle in early 2021. Since then we’ve read books and followed others in those spaces, learning all we could about the mysterious “magical” Internet money and the largest asset in the world, land.
Join us in learning more about Bitcoin, the 18.6-year Real Estate cycle, and other financial related topics.

Gatekeeper Investment Group
Lennar Corp. (the 2nd largest US homebuilder) has broken 2 monthly swing lows and hasn’t come close to retesting its local 50%. Meanwhile, the US Case Shiller Home Price Index is at record highs. This is a perfect example of what the end of the 18.6-year Real Estate cycle looks like. We’re in the “winner’s curse” phase and we usually hang out here for less than 2 years, sometimes as short as 9 months. Land, being the largest asset class in the world, holds approximately $500 trillion in value, so it takes time to create major corrections.
Lennar Corp. (the 2nd largest US homebuilder) has broken 2 monthly swing lows and hasn’t come close to retesting its local 50%. Meanwhile, the US Case Shiller Home Price Index is at record highs. This is a perfect example of what the end of the 18.6-year Real Estate cycle looks like. We’re in the “winner’s curse” phase and we usually hang out here for less than 2 years, sometimes as short as 9 months. Land, being the largest asset class in the world, holds approximately $500 trillion in value, so it takes time to create major corrections.
Gatekeeper Investment Group
Them: Bitcoin is a bubble.
Me: Look at this chart.
Them: Exactly.
Me: You know that’s the chart for eggs, right?/
Gatekeeper Investment Group
The harder the money, the longer it lasts. When a new form of technology is introduced into a culture, it has the power to transform what people use as money, and therefore, the culture itself.
It’s been true for centuries, lest we forget.
Study history. Study Bitcoin./
Gatekeeper Investment Group
$300B financial advisory firm recommends 10% (conservative) to 40% (aggressive) Bitcoin allocation.
Are you paying attention?
Study Bitcoin.
The world is changing fast. | Daniel Batten/